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⚽ The final is set: Spain vs Argentina — the market read →Fresh analysis first, evergreen guides below.
The final is set: Spain -164, Argentina +134 for Sunday at MetLife — and Polymarket has Spain at ~58¢. For once, the two markets agree. The updated two-market read.
Read → ⚽ Analysis · Updated July 16, 2026Both semifinals are in the books: Spain 2-0 France, Argentina 2-1 England. Updated odds, implied probabilities, and what a 13-game winning streak buys you on Sunday.
Read → ⚽ Match Analysis · Result: Argentina 2-1 EnglandThe holders were +205 underdogs on a 12-game streak. They came from a goal down in the last five minutes — Messi assisting both. The pre-match read, preserved.
Read the analysis → ⚽ Match Analysis · July 13, 2026France 43.5% to win in 90 minutes — but ~60% to reach the final. The market saw a coin flip; Spain won it 2-0.
Read the analysis → 🌍 Geopolitics · July 12, 2026He missed his own father's state funeral. Traders price just 36% odds he's photographed this year.
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